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Crown Green Handicap

Peter Lucas

Team: Thingwall BDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

478

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

75

Matches Played

17

Wins

58

Losses

23%

Win Rate

7.2

Avg Win Margin

9.9

Avg Loss Margin

13-26

Home Record

4-32

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
75 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/15/2022

A large recent sample: 75 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 39-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player6/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 75 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

1 Jul5 May11 Aug13 Jul21 Jun7 Jun27 May15 Aug-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
23%
score-0.55→contribution-0.22
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.2
score-0.13→contribution-0.03
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.9
score-0.31→contribution-0.05
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
20%
score-0.60→contribution-0.06
Opponent Strength(10%)
768
score-0.86→contribution-0.09
Weighted Score-0.443
Sample Size Confidence
100%(75/39 matches)
Rating778 → shrunk 778→ adjusted 478
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

17W58L75 matches·22.7% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Thingwall B2016–2022League 375175822.7%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/15/2022vs Pensby BH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
7/29/2022Dave EdwardsA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
7/22/2022James KellyH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2022Ray HartleyA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
7/11/2022vs Great MeolsH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
7/4/2022Stephen CorriganA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
6/27/2022vs Oxton ArgyleA4-21LOSS-17LeagueLeague 3
6/20/2022vs Albany BA7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 3
6/17/2022Phil GordonH4-21LOSS-17LeagueLeague 3
6/6/2022Mike PillingH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
5/30/2022vs PoultonH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
5/27/2022Dave BibbyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
5/23/2022Derek AyreH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
5/20/2022Leslie SilcockA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
5/13/2022Tim WatkinsH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
8/20/2021Bob ThomasH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
7/16/2021Tina EvansA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
7/12/2021Roy WestonH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
7/5/2021Bill BurgessH21-0WIN+21LeagueLeague 3
7/2/2021John DaviesA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
6/14/2021Jackie SnapeA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
6/7/2021Robert LeachH8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
6/4/2021Margaret ProwseA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
5/28/2021Chris BlackburnH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
5/24/2021Lorraine WatkinsA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
8/19/2019Paul HarrisA2-21LOSS-19LeagueLeague 3
8/2/2019Albert StanleyA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
7/26/2019Christian KearneyH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2019Peter FishwickH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 3
7/12/2019Bob ThomasA2-21LOSS-19LeagueLeague 3
6/21/2019Beryl BellH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
5/31/2019Grace MulvaneyH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
5/17/2019Lynda BennettH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
5/10/2019Donald ClarkA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
5/3/2019Derek ThomasH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
4/26/2019vs Great MeolsA7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 3
8/10/2018Roy BiggsH7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 3
8/3/2018Freda WhalleyH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
7/27/2018Brenda CoppleA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
7/13/2018Jim MorrisA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
6/29/2018Des ClarkeA2-21LOSS-19LeagueLeague 3
6/15/2018John BeswickH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
6/11/2018Fred ConwayA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
6/1/2018Joan LawrenceH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
5/25/2018Phil GordonA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
5/21/2018Colin GoodwinA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
5/18/2018Ian HulmeH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
8/18/2017Scott HuxleyH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
8/11/2017Craig EdwardsA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
8/7/2017Dave EastA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
7/24/2017vs Great MeolsH8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
6/30/2017Edwin BerryA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 3
6/16/2017Alan HoughtonH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
6/12/2017Eddie ShiffH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
6/9/2017Val RuddA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
5/19/2017Barbara PattersonA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
5/12/2017Barbara PattersonH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
5/5/2017Sarah ParnellA21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
4/24/2017Bill BurgessH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
4/21/2017Steve PrestonA21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 3
8/19/2016Steve GarnerA21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2016Ian HawesH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
8/1/2016Dennis PattersonA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
7/29/2016Peter TowersH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
7/22/2016Barry BaughH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2016Barry BaughA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
7/1/2016Keith FraserH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
6/24/2016Martin ConwayA7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 3
6/20/2016vs New Brighton Quarry Vikings DH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
6/17/2016Neil WainwrightH6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
6/13/2016Brian PorterH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
6/10/2016Jim GriffinA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
5/20/2016Nicky BaileyH3-21LOSS-18LeagueLeague 3
5/16/2016Dave CamplinA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
5/6/2016Nigel WardH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl6 games · 1W
20221 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 Round** Ritchie DawsonNew Brighton Quarry Vikings B5-21LOSSLOST
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundPhil CritchleyThingwall10-21LOSSLOST
20181 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundAnn Marie WatersWallasey RBL21-18WINLOST
20171 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundPeter LimbAlbany B7-21LOSSLOST
20162 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundPhil HaselgrovePenketh Argyle13-21LOSSWON
Round of 16 Round* Ian JohnsonHeswall RBL2-21LOSSLOST
Cartwright Cup1 games · 0W
20181 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundTommy JamesNaval Club5-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

4losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

6

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

10

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLLLW
Last 1010% win rate— steady
LLLLWLLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Great Meols12333.3%7/11/2022
Phil Gordon0220%6/17/2022
Bob Thomas11250%8/20/2021
Bill Burgess202100%7/5/2021
Barbara Patterson202100%5/19/2017
Barry Baugh0220%7/22/2016
Pensby B0110%8/15/2022
Dave Edwards0110%7/29/2022
James Kelly0110%7/22/2022
Ray Hartley0110%7/15/2022
Biggest Win
Bill Burgess (+21)7/5/2021
Heaviest Defeat
Paul Harris (-19)8/19/2019
Best Season
201746% · 13 matches
Worst Season
20189% · 11 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
27% → 18%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
71060 known · 15 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-40% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
13-4323% win rate
League 322.7%
17W·58L·75 played

Debut

May 6, 2016

Latest

Aug 15, 2022

Seasons Active

6 (6.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

12.5 (75 total)

Seasons

201620172018201920212022